Tuesday, November 10, 2020

NHC little confidence in Eta models

The entire Alabama, south Mississippi and the Florida Panhandle Gulf Coast sit squarely inside Tropical Storm Eta’s warning cone. Eta is expected to make a second landfall this weekend as a tropical storm or tropical depression. The National Hurricane Cen0ter shows Eta most likely to make landfall along the Florida Panhandle near the Alabama state line, but intensity and track are highly uncertain Nov. 10. The storm was drifting in the Gulf of Mexico with maximum sustained winds at 70 mph. Eta is expected to begin a slow trek northward for a couple of days over the east-central GoM. Beyond that, model guidance is in poor agreement. NHC has “little confidence in the forecast track” because of model disagreement over intensity and the considerable spread in guidance, the forecast says. (Source: Sun Herald 11/10/20) https://www.sunherald.com/news/weather-news/article247095382.html?ac_cid=DM320461&ac_bid=-1481403745

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